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I hate having been correct so much with my Cassandra warnings about Americans turning Fascist and against Europe. I hate having been correct with my warnings that small wars are bollocks and alliance defence & deterrence are getting too much neglected inf ace of Russian aggressiveness.
I erred on the side of caution and overestimated Russian military and military-technological prowess (which still pointing out that they weren't as strong as they pretend and are widely believed to be).
So here's a list of things we need to URGENTLY do now, exploiting that the mainstream finally woke up to 'security policy' being something deserving attention:
- Harden ourselves against American economic sabotage through Microsoft, Cisco and the likes
- Harden ourselves against other American economic sabotage such as cutting us off from SWIFT.
- Quickly create an alternative to Starlink and an alternative to SpaceX's reusable rockets for low satellite lift costs.
- Kick Russian & American intelligence and most "diplomats" out, especially stop tolerating them snooping on our telecoms. This includes closing the "Russian House"s.
- Stop relying on NATO, for it's compromised by Americans, Hungarians, Slovakians and possibly Turks
- Stop relying on the EU for security policy because it's compromised and blocked by Hungary and Slovakia.
- Establish a new alliance that's designed to neutralise 5th column (Americans, Hungarians, Slovakians, Turks and whoever might turn to the dark side) sabotage & betrayals.
- Improve nuclear deterrence based on the French arsenal (though American BMD is turning this into an elevated challenge).
- Establish conventional deterrence against the Americans (vs. American threats of naval blockade, naval air attacks and missile attacks)
- Kick American troops out of Europe.
- Effectively counter propaganda networks (Transatlantiker in Germany, Putin's stooges, European unification ideologues, Murdoch media, TikTok, Twitter) in order to create freedom of political action.
- Understand that most European nation states are capable of great efforts, not impotent.
- Reorient our armed forces to focus 99% on deterrence & alliance defence.
- Force our armed services to become more efficient (liberally fire generals & admirals), including breaking the 'miniature balanced forces' bollocks. The armed forces shall not be permitted to follow self-interest; they exist to serve!
- This includes focusing on mobilised strength, not peacetime active duty personnel strength & structure.
- Stop relying on the arms industry. Create arms & munitions production capacity outside of the sluggish established arms makers, just as we did to nowadays unfathomable success in both world wars. The artillery munition production efforts so far are scandalously inept compared to 1915ff and 1939ff.
- Understand that Putin's regime has to lose its war of aggression beyond reasonable doubt (no efforts to help them saving face!) and support Ukraine accordingly, including direct intervention. Start by telling the Russians that they have already lost now that we decided so and enact a naval blockade as a first step.
- Get ready for a new Cold War, this time against Russia and the U.S.. This goes beyond the pure defensive on the European continents and its peripheral seas.
- Stay out of East Asian great power games.
- Seek India as defensive ally to add mass and economic potential to the bloc, but be wary of them turning full (Hindu-)Fascist, for we might find ourselves in need of allying with the PRC in the worst case scenario!
- Establish a "Stay out of Europe" doctrine vs. the Chinese AND the Americans and enforce it
Please not I did not pretend that huge military spending increases are necessary or in any way central to free Europe's successful deterrence & defence!
S O
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Nice list.
ReplyDelete"Stay out of East Asian great power games."
How do you propose this with some European** countries having legal responsibilities in that region, both directly (Territory) and treat obligations.
**including UK if it's to be included in any security deal - I'm assuming you don't want that but EU leaders seem to be onboard with it, possible for other reasons than defence.