It's all fine as long as you're on the matching terrain.
This camo pattern does the micro /macro patterning really well for very short to short distances, though. I suspect it won't be much different from unicolour beginning at 100...150 m.
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Hungary is a dictatorship now.
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The effect of propaganda liars on the stupidity and anti-social behaviour of people:
www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/04/02/us/coronavirus-social-distancing.html
Note: The map shows movements relative to normal movements.
Rural or urban does thus not matter.
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| I have an incomplete knowledge about what's going on in the media of different countries. Still, I find the politically motivated large-scale disinformation about COVID-19 in the U.S. unusual. There are sceptical people and idiots everywhere and certain developing countries have displayed epic stupidity on the issue for want of education. Yet the U.S. stands out with its wilful and politically motivated deception and smearing of some actual experts among western countries. Well, it stands out if you think of it as a Western country. The U.S. government (executive branch) behaviour fits just fine to what the governments of Russia and Belarus do. |
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The effect of propaganda liars on the stupidity and anti-social behaviour of people:
www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/04/02/us/coronavirus-social-distancing.html
Note: The map shows movements relative to normal movements.
Rural or urban does thus not matter.
It is almost as if a god had tailored the virus to punish American right wingers: Disinformed, mostly old people who do not trust the government even when their dysfunctional guy is in charge of the executive branch. At least European governments and populations want to fight the virus for real.
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www.nytimes.com/2020/03/31/us/politics/coronavirus-defense-production-act.html"A Korean War-era law called the Defense Production Act has been invoked hundreds of thousands of times by President Trump (...) Yet as governors and members of Congress plead with the president to use the law to force the production of ventilators and other medical equipment to combat the coronavirus pandemic, he has for weeks treated it like a “break the glass” last resort, to be invoked only when all else fails."
This tells us about his priorities. American lives aren't among them. He betrays his own people. Why would any ally-by-treaty of the United States think of it as being a reliable ally or partner? That would be stupid.
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www.sfchronicle.com/bayarea/article/Exclusive-Captain-of-aircraft-carrier-with-15167883.php
how the story ended so far:
twitter.com/peterwsinger/status/1246060727212916743
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healthweather.us/
This is from people who have access to uploaded data from IoT thermometers.
It appears that the social distancing has dramatically reduced fevers (especially by infections other than Covid-19) in general. It does also show the known Covid-19 hot spots Seattle and NYC&NJ, but interestingly also much more extreme fever hot spots in Florida. That's just a preliminary, superficial, marginally informed layman interpretation, of course.
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Public morale message:
Reggae/dance music. It really improves the mood.
example (this was not much of an international hit, it was a German cover group):
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[German] https://freiheitsrechte.org/corona-und-grundrechte/
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https://9gag.com/gag/a9RwE4D
Corona humour section:
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| (It's an insider joke. This character was the personification of death in a TV show. The people around him dropped dead seconds after he passed them, just by his proximity.) |
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| There are going to be sequels. |
https://9gag.com/gag/a85RENd
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| Math teachers must be despairing all over the world.This global, collective display of inability to make use of math lessons to understand the implications of exponential spread of COVID-19 must be disheartening. |
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| It's funny, but not totally correct. They spend insanely on health care, but pull off only mediocre to inferior health outcomes. American life expectancy is in free fall. |
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Regarding the New York Times article, my conclusion is exactly the opposite of yours. Where the local government issued stay-at-home orders there was a HUGE reduction in travel. That hardly shows an enormous disdain for government. The bubble chart shows that even areas without stay-at-home orders showed an average of a fifty percent reduction in distance traveled.
ReplyDeleteMore pertinent to how the epidemic spreads is how many people each individual gets close to. In a big city, a mother might move 200 meters and enter a day-care facility with fifty other children who are in contact with four times as many adults. In a rural area, a widow might drive thirty miles to church and sit with fifteen other old women and that might be their only contact with others that week.
Distance traveled is only a proxy for the number of person-to-person contacts.
You appear to ignore that the map shows difference from normal travel behaviour.
Deletequote from above:
"Note: The map shows movements relative to normal movements. Rural or urban does thus not matter."
I don't see how your response applies to any of the points I raised. A city person can cut their "normal travel behavior" by 95% and still be swimming in Covid-19. A rural person can cut their "normal travel behavior" by 0% and still be clean.
DeletePlease address the points raised or demonstrate why you read what I wrote and it caused you to repeat yourself. My actual text, copied with cut-and-paste from my comment read "average of a fifty percent reduction in distance traveled" which implies I understood "difference from normal travel behaviour"
The map shows difference in changing behaviour. Changing behaviour a little does not suffice even for rural people. In fact, there are lots of urban people with hardly any social contacts who surely are less exposed in normal weekly routine than those rural people who go to church et cetera.
DeleteAll regions should have changed their behaviour drastically.
The regions with drastic changes include many rural counties.
The idiot propaganda has consequences. It had consequences that kill both through keeping state governments from imposing stricter measures and by influencing people directly.
NYC is likely hard-hit because of the subway network and a mayor who did the right thing way too late.
The red states will be hit very hard because of poor policy and because of disinformation. The rural areas may have smaller transmission because of fewer contacts per day, but they have lots of factors that will hurt them.
One is disinformation that impedes the countermeasures and another is that the refusal to expand Medicaid (ACA) has led to many small town hospitals closing in the past years (many more in such states than in Medicaid expansion states).
FYI, the German county that's hit the most by COVID is a rural/small town county. One of the earliest infected cases did spread the disease on a carnival party there. It doesn't take a subway or big city life. Church mass or party suffice.
"The red states..."
DeleteMore delusion from someone who obviously has no understanding of US demographics or political party affiliation.
Most U.S. states are actually fairly evenly split between the political parties with a few percentage point differences deciding the map. Saying one party or another will suffer disproportionately is rubbish.
COVID 19 is going to be a seasonal thing - small to medium cities can loose use of the subway/metro - the economies of large cities like NYC, DC, Boston, Chicago, etc. will be seriously hurt in the long run. Economic disruption will kill and hurt far more than the damn bug itself.
BTW https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html
GAB
That's too much nonsense and arrogance there.
DeleteI know about the political map of the U.S.. The "red states" describes a well-defined group of states because those had policies dominated by Republicons for many years. It's completely appropriate to call them "red states". Your pretence that this is inappropriate is bollocks.
You have obviously no understanding of what I know about U.S. politics, and from this ignorance stems your arrogant remark.
"Saying one party or another will suffer disproportionately is rubbish."
And by this everyone here can see that you're discussing in fantasyland. Nobody mentioned such a thing, it's all in your fantasy.
What I wrote is that old and disinformed people will be hurt badly, and that describes the Republicon base a lot better than the Democratic base. Republicons also live more likely in counties that had seen hospitals shutting down (because their red governor did not expand Medicaid).
"COVID 19 is going to be a seasonal thing"
That is by now known to be either a lie or an expression of ignorance on a matter that's dominating the news. The virus is transmitting pretty well in warm countries (Australia, for example).
Economic disruption may not kill more in the long run at all. The reduction in air pollution, work accidents, traffic accidents and gun violence are extreme. The only way how economic trouble might lead to more deaths that I see is through deaths of despair, an American speciality (and way more common in red than in blue states).
"I know about the political map of the U.S"
DeleteNo, you do not, and you using this crisis to grandstand. You have yet to address the JHU data, which clearly does not support what you are saying.
The John Hopkins website clearly shows the pattern of COVID 19 cases: https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html
COVID 19 is disproportionately affecting: 1. African Americans and 2. Latin Americans demographic groups that are notoriously and overwhelming supportive of democrats (~90%).
COVID 19 also is devastating to diabetics and the obese, in the American South East, this is *not* a political issue, it is a *dietary issue* rooted in a tradition of cooking fatty foods by frying in grease.
Also, the WSJ which describes Detroit, a long-standing democrat bastion, as the perhaps the worst affected American city.
https://www.wsj.com/video/as-detroit-nears-virus-peak-citys-disadvantages-may-fuel-crisis/53274CDA-E6CB-426C-9C18-7B8FC0648F23.html?mod=searchresults&page=1&pos=9
And even brilliant people like Dr Anthony Fauci have agendas and are also sometimes wrong. Fuaci down played H1N1, and back in January he downplayed COVID 19. Fauci also said of Donald Trump: “Well, that’s pretty interesting because to his [President’s] credit, even though we disagree on some things, he listens. He goes his own way. He has his own style. But on substantive issues, he does listen to what I say.”
https://www.thenational.scot/news/18351457.coronavirus-donald-trumps-medical-advisor-stealing-thunder/
GAB
Adults are supposed to understand that they don't get to dictate what other people talk about.
DeleteIt speaks volumes that you apply a categorization of people by 'colour' here. I've seen press reports pointing out that the disproportionally affected groups younger than 60 years are disproportionally strongly represented in many 'essential worker' jobs that are now continue working and are most exposed.
If I may be my usually annoying pro-Russian self, I'll point out that the RF government took serious measures to halt the spread of the virus long before others did and used that time to implement a phased approach of restrictions - it didn't pretend that the virus wasn't a problem, massively under-estimate the challenge, panic-implement policies then start flinging shit at China to distract from its own incompetence like the "glorious orange leadership" of Yankeestan. The latter has become almost boring to watch, with surprise factor 0. Btw, though the national discourse was less crazy, UK, NL and Sverige also come out looking delusional, Italy incompetent.
ReplyDeleteYou should look at how the Russian-controlled media spreads disinformation to disrupt other countries.
DeleteAlso, Russian stats about few COVID cases in Russian Far East are not believable.
I won't comment on the disinformation issue, because it's tendentious and short on facts.
DeleteAs regards the numbers in the Far East, well we'll only know once the crisis is over, but there are good reasons to think the numbers are in fact relatively reasonable, at least no more or less believable than numbers released by other countries. Namely the Far East has relatively minor contact with China, quarantine procedures and case tracing + border closures were implemented fairly rapidly. In fact new clusters of cases in RFE were brought in from people who had made trips to Western Europe, which is an indication of the "Europeannes" of Russia. Nor are the Chinese provinces bordering the RFE particularly prosperous, populous or economically active relative to the rest of China - quite the opposite. Again, we'll see who is right in about 2 months.
SO,
ReplyDeleteYou might want to start your next rant with the useless WHO director general/CCP suck-up...
https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html
You can do the math yourself, but the DC-Baltimore-Philadelphia-NJ/NYC-Boston corridor is the epicenter of the US COVID 19 fiasco; guess which political party has controlled this region for decades?
GAB
You mean that region is the hotbed of KNOWN cases. And I already mentioned that the mayor of NYC fucked up by not closing the subway early.
DeleteThe WHO boss is far, far away from us. He's not someone whom we can elect, the entire Western World united could not dictate who gets the job against the resistance of the RoW. I will not be distracted.
"The WHO boss is ... not someone whom we can elect..."
DeleteSounds like the EU...
GAB
Did you see me discussing the EU commission?
Delete“Did you see me discussing the EU commission?”
DeletePlease explain why you aren’t you discussing Europe specific issues?
This is what the Defense and Freedom blog has devolved into:
- PRC: Puts one million muslim Uighurs in concentration camps.
- Defense and Freedom: zzzzz…
- PRC: Cracks down on 7.5 million residents of Hong Kong.
- Defense and Freedom: zzzzz…
- PRC: Cracks down on 8.8 million residents of Wuhan, establishes martial law, jails doctors who reach out to other doctors.
- Defense and Freedom: zzzzz…
- PRC: Fails to cooperate and share information about the COVID 19 pandemic, outright lies about nature and extent of the crisis, ejects foreign journalist covering the pandemic.
- Defense and Freedom: zzzzz…
- USA: Donald Trump holds a press conference...
- Defense and Freedom: He is a Nazi liar; burn himmm! How dare he utter one word! Expunge him from history!...
Not much about defense or freedom on these pages; it all smacks of EU tribalism.
GAB
Well, I consider the PRC less a threat to Europe. The PRC is rather uninteresting regarding European defence and freedom. It's far away, both culturally and geographically and it has a much less aggressive track record.
DeleteBesides, I did mentioned the Honk Kong protests in March a bit. This post from 2009 explains why I consider much critique of China on the HK and Uighur and Falun Gong issues as ill-advised:
https://defense-and-freedom.blogspot.com/2009/09/relevant-chinese-history.html
I dont know the 'capabilities' of the virus.
ReplyDeleteI dont know how certain populations will react when people around them start dying.
I dont know the relative ability for certain countries infrastructure to run headless.
I dont know if certain governments realise that when peasants say they have "no money", they really havent got any money. Underclass, black economy, 'criminal' economy, un-banked, homeless etc... Mitt Romney saying "ask your father for money to start a business" if youre brassic comes to mind.
yankish (and aparently certain Italians (and numerous Indians)) frippery about mutilateralism is childish. Do we have to go through all of the history of yankish abuse and subversion of international organisations? Their argument is moral? Constitutionalist? China is a global player now. They have power which is unbound from yanks power. Are they denying that? Or are they just overcome by awe.
The fall of the East was mistaken for the rise of the West.
Some people have been saying that for quite some time.
P.S can Scotland come back into the EU now please?